Jika Maju, Risma Kemungkinan Besar Tumbangkan Ahok Di Pilkada DKI


Jakarta, jurnalisindonesia.com – Uforia isu politik menjelang pilkada DKI Jakarta tertuju pada satu hal, yakni bagaimana mengalahkan Gubernur Petaha, Basuki Tjahaja Purnama alias Ahok. Beragam tokoh dan pigur bermunculan, namun dari tingkat elektabilitas beberapa lembaga Survai hanya menempatkan Risma dan Yusril sebagai tandingan sepadan Ahok.

Ada sejumlah alasan yang membuat publik percaya bahwa calon petahana Gubernur DKI Jakarta, Basuki Tjahaja Purnama dapat dikalahkan dalam Pilkada DKI 2017 mendatang. Hal itu sebagaimana diutarakan oleh salah seorang pendiri Survei KedaiKOPI (Kelompok Diskusi dan Kajian Opini Publik Indonesia), Hendri Satrio.

Dari hasil survei terbaru KedaiKOPI, kata dia, sekitar 40,3 persen publik percaya bahwa Ahok tumbang karena faktor calon alternatif yang kuat.

“Petahana tersandung kasus hukum 23 persen, bila hanya ada 2 pasang calon 8,8 persen, bila dukungan parpol berkurang 8,5 persen dan faktor bila ada koalisi PDIP-Gerindra 6,3 persen,” tutur Hendri di Jakarta, Senin (12/09/2016).

Responden juga punya jawaban bervariasi saat ditanya siapa calon lain yang bisa mengalahkan Ahok. Ada sekitar 56,5 persen yang yakin Tri Rismaharini bisa mengalahkan Ahok, 15, 5 persen memilih Rizal Ramli. Sementara sekitar 8,3 persen responden percaya Sandiaga Uno dan 2 persen Budi Waseso.

“Ini juga merupakan alarm bagi Sandi yang namanya mulai disaingi dan dilewati Rizal Ramli,” terangnya.

“Satu lagi hal yang menarik, 76 persen responden mengatakan bahwa untuk pilihan politik keputusan ada di diri mereka sendiri, walaupun keluarga menempati tempat teratas untuk bertukar pikiran.‎”

Survei dilaksanakan 2-5 September 2016 dengan metode wawancara tatap muka. Ada 400 responden yang terlibat pada survei ini tersebar proposional di 40 kelurahan di 6 Kabupaten/Kota di DKI Jakarta. Pemilihan sampel menggunakan metode sampel ‎acak bertingkat dengan margin of error (MOE) sebesar +/- 4,9 persen pada tingkat kepercayaan 95 persen.

‎Lembaga survei KedaiKOPI telah melakukan berbagai survei sejak berdiri secara resmi dan berbadan hukum. Sebelum berbadan hukum resmi KedaiKOPI merupakan kelompok diskusi yang beranggotakan pengusaha, akademisi, budayawan dan tokoh masyarakat.[] (Redaksi)

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