Lembaga Survei: Agus-Sylvi Potensi Menang Jika Head To Head Dengan Anies-Sandi. Betulkah?

126
61
views

JAKARTA, jurnalisindonesia.com – Mendekati penetapan cagub cawagub DKI, beberapa lembaga survei terus mengupdate tingkat elektabilitas pasangan bakal cagub cawagub DKI.  Survei terkini Saiful Mujani Research Center (SMRC) mengungkapkan Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono-Sylviana Murni sebagai pasangan bakal cagub DKI yang tak boleh dianggap remeh karena mereka masuk dalam posisi kuda hitam,

Hasil survei yang dipublikasikan, pada hari Kamis (20/10/2016) itu, sangat jauh berbeda dari rilis elektabilitas sejumlah survei sebelumnya yang memposisikan Agus-Sylvi yang diusung PD-PAN-PPP-PKB berada di bawah pasangan Anies Baswedan-Sandiaga Uno yang diusung PKS dan Gerindra.

“Bila pemilihan dilakukan saat ini, 44,4% warga Jakarta menyatakan akan memilih Ahok sebagai Gubernur DKI. Suara dukungan terhadap Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono mencapai 22,3%, atau berselisih tipis dengan dukungan terhadap Anies Baswedan yang baru mencapai 19,9%. Sementara 13,4% lainnya menyatakan tidak tahu atau rahasia,” kata Direktur SMRC, Sirojudin Abbas, dalam rilis Survei SMRC di Hotel Sari Pan Pacific, Jakarta Pusat, Kamis (20/10/2016).

Abbas mengaku jika survei tersebut dilakukan dilakukan pada 1-9 Oktober 2016. Populasi survei adalah warga DKI yang sudah berusia di atas 17 tahun. Dalam survei ini, jumlah sampel acak sebanyak 810 orang yang dipilih secara multistage random sampling. Responden diwawancara secara tatap muka dan margin of error sebesar 3,9% pada tingkat kepercayaan 95%. Quality control dilakukan secara random ke 20% secara random terhadap total sampel. Dalam quality control, tak ditemukan kesalahan berarti.

Dari hasil survei, 70% warga menyatakan kemungkinan besar tidak akan mengubah pilihannya pada Pilkada nanti. Hanya sekitar 29% orang yang mengaku mungkin akan mengubah pilihan. Butuh kerja keras bagi Anies-Sandi dan Agus-Sylvi untuk mengejar ketertinggalan.

Survei ini juga melakukan simulasi cagub DKI jika berlangsung dua putaran. Hasilnya Ahok-Djarot masih terkuat, namun tentu saja kondisi di hari pemilihan dan penghitungan suara juga punya potensi berubah.

“Simulasi dua pasangan: Ahok-Djarot 49,5%, Agus-Sylvi 35,1%, belum jawab 15,4%,” kata Sirojudin Abbas.

“Simulasi dua pasangan: Anies-Sandi 36,9%, Ahok-Djarot 47,9%, tidak jawab 15,1%,” imbuhnya.

SMRC juga menyimulasikan head to head antara Anies-Sandi dan Agus-Sylvi. Hasilnya Agus-Sylvi diprediksi akan menang jika di putaran dua berhadapan dengan Anies-Sandi.

“Simulasi 2 pasangan: Agus-Sylvi 37,2%, Anies-Sandi 34%, tidak jawab 28,8%,” ungkap Sirajudin.[] (NA/ZA)

baca juga

Berita Terbaru

126 KOMENTAR

  1. 686409 165712I discovered your weblog post web internet site on the search engines and appearance several of your early posts. Always maintain the top notch operate. I additional the Feed to my MSN News Reader. Seeking forward to reading significantly far more on your part down the line! 873073

  2. 673752 199412Be the precise blog in case you have wants to learn about this topic. You comprehend considerably its almost onerous to argue to you (not that I personally would needHaHa). You undoubtedly put a new spin for a topic thats been discussing for some time. Nice stuff, just nice! 424102

  3. 701780 429070A really informationrmative post and lots of actually honest and forthright comments created! This definitely got me thinking a whole lot about this concern so cheers a whole lot for dropping! 617513

  4. 265922 590108Very man or woman speeches require to seat giving observe into couples. Brand new sound system just before unnecessary folks should always be mindful of generally senior common rule from public speaking, which is to be the mini. finest man speaches 46774

  5. I just want to tell you that I am all new to blogging and certainly loved you’re web page. Likely I’m going to bookmark your blog . You definitely come with beneficial stories. Appreciate it for sharing with us your website page.

  6. This is truly good content and enlightening weblog, I praise what you’ve carried out right here, along with sharing excellent information with great tips and concepts, I’m really pleased to submit my comment on this weblog, many thank you’s towards the author.

  7. im pretty good with Dreamweaver so i know how to design the site, but i dont know which site would get alot of attention… i want either a Hip Hop site with news, board and etc.. or A youtube like site… or a porn site.. my main interest is making money off this so i need help picking the right start… . . and also besides google adsense, how else can i make money from a website?.

  8. I should add that I’m not that technical, so a solution that is easy to use would be more appropriate of the two. . . The website will work in a similar way to gumtree’s classified ads. If this is possible would I also be able to add a charging mechanism for the ads using Joomla or WordPress.. . Any help would be much appreciated.. . Many thanks..

  9. Hey I was wondering if anyone could tell me which universities are the best (anywhere) for creative writing? I’m not interested in any universities in ontario because they dont offer the type of courses I want. I was also wondering if maybe there are schools specifically for creative writing? Please help me out, I have to apply in Dec, and I have no idea where I’m going, I just know that I want to write, because writing is my life, and I cant see myself doing anything else. Thanks..

  10. My pal and also I have actually been discussing personal blog sites as well as online journaling. She feels that personal sensations and also such should not expressed in such open online forums. I see not a problem with it. Share your thoughts:. 1. Do you blog site or journal?. 2. Do you like face to face expression of feelings over created interaction?.

  11. I have actually been a yahoo individuals for some years now. I am just starting to use the tools which they supply, one of which being blog posts. I have actually composed a blog and also would love to understand if my blog posts are being seen by others. Otherwise after that does any person recognize exactly how I get my posts read.

  12. jHM5hO thanks for sharing Hi. I need to to ask something?is this a wordpress blog page as we are thinking about shifting over to WP. Additionally did you make this design all by yourself? Thank you.

  13. I’m developing a new blog concerning literature (what I have actually checked out, what I’m reading), but I’m having problem thinking of a title. I such as the concept of something pertaining to a fixation with literary works yet I assume bookophilia gets on the typical side. What do you think of Litophilia? Is it too comparable to “lithophilia” Which indicates the love of stones? Any kind of suggestions? Thanks!.

  14. According to people familiar with the matter, Apple Music’s US subscription fee has surpassed Spotify, and this change has made the two music competitors’ global competition for users. Apple’s streaming music service is growing faster in the world’s largest music market than its Swedish competitors, with a monthly growth rate of about 2.6% to 3%, while Spotify’s users are growing at a rate of 1.5% to 2% per month.

  15. I am requesting my mother. She doesn’t always intend to make money off them, her purpose is to use her blog site (as soon as popular) as well as utilize it as referrals to potentially assist her obtain a news article. She has a title for one called “Solution to Life’s Troubles”. Where can she upload blog sites as well as they end up being popular? She uploaded it already on WordPress yet there are 3 million individuals publishing blogs hers obtains lost in the mix. Any kind of tips?.

  16. Re En ce qui me concerne les avis de ce gentilce court debrieffing necessiteraient de nouvelles avis… Votre approche est bonne quoique je ne defend pas les divers avis plus haut! il faudrait apporter des valeurs pour etre plus rigoureux! Au plaisir de vous relire

  17. Can you add a Blackberry template? This page is difficult to read otherwise for those of us browsing with cell phones. Otherwise, if you can put a RSS link up, that would be great also.

  18. New York Giants general manager Dave Gettleman said he didn’t fall in love with any quarterbacks in last year’s draft class, so he passed. He took Saquon Barkley with the No. 2 overall pick.

  19. I currently am running 2 blog sites, one is for layout & development and I have a pagerank of 4 on it and also I have lots of excellent articles. And also I have one more blog where I have rants, wellness ideas and also digital photography … Should I merge them or should I maintain it seperate?.

  20. Wow! This could be one particular of the most beneficial blogs We have ever arrive across on this subject. Actually Wonderful. I am also a specialist in this topic so I can understand your effort.

  21. I want to to thank you for this excellent read!! I definitely enjoyed every little bit of it. I have got you saved as a favorite to look at new things you post?

  22. I’m trying to find clothing and also design ideas at a sensible costs for a woman over 25 … Any individual recognize any good websites or blogs?. Seems like every little thing I discover is either geared towards teenagers or is insanely pricey couture … Thanks!.

  23. I do accept as true with all of the ideas you have offered on your post. They’re really convincing and will certainly work. Nonetheless, the posts are too short for newbies. May just you please extend them a little from next time? Thank you for the post.

  24. Very nice post. I just stumbled upon your weblog and wanted to say that I ave really enjoyed browsing your blog posts. After all I will be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again soon!

  25. I would love to have the ability to identify blogs I like as well as have them show on my internet site. Any ideas on the best path to take on this. Any type of input would be handy.

  26. zhevvkojwa,A fascinating discussion is definitely worth comment. I do think that you ought to publish more on this topic, it may not be a taboo oiivysbyp,subject but generally folks don’t talk about such subjects. To the next! All the best!!

  27. Wow, marvelous blog layout! How long have you been blogging for? you make blogging look easy. The overall look of your web site is fantastic, as well as the content!. Thanks For Your article about &.

  28. I will right away clutch your rss feed as I can not find your email subscription hyperlink or e-newsletter service. Do you ave any? Kindly permit me recognize in order that I may subscribe. Thanks.

  29. I truly wanted to write a brief note so as to say thanks to you for the stunning secrets you are sharing here. My extensive internet investigation has at the end of the day been paid with pleasant suggestions to share with my friends and family. I would repeat that we readers actually are unequivocally blessed to live in a very good network with many brilliant individuals with very helpful techniques. I feel somewhat grateful to have encountered your entire webpages and look forward to some more pleasurable minutes reading here. Thank you once more for everything.

  30. This is very interesting, You are a very skilled blogger. I have joined your rss feed and look forward to seeking more of your fantastic post. Also, I ave shared your site in my social networks!

  31. I simply want to tell you that I’m new to blogs and really liked this website. Probably I’m likely to bookmark your blog post . You surely come with fantastic articles. Thank you for revealing your blog.

  32. With these current economic conditions the simplest way truly, I made the decision to arrange strategies for filing for having been fired effects. Very own understanding ended up interpret how a joblessness strategy exercises, just what prevalent is ideal for getting payments from or perhaps a rejecting statement forms, just to include content articles caused by acquire experiences in what appropriate procedures combined with generic misunderstandings come in submitting lack of employment pluses.

  33. I love reading individual blog sites, Mother blog sites, etc. What is the very best way to locate these types of blogs online? The very best approach I have is just adhering to faves people have – going to one blog writers “favorites” then the next bloggers favorites, etc … I’ve attempted Google Blogsearch but all that provides me is old newspaper article, and so on. Nothing personal in all … Exactly how do you look for personal blogs?.

TINGGALKAN KOMENTAR

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here